Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006236 0.007243 0.008430 0.009951 0.011876 0.014268 0.017532
2025-04-13 0.004959 0.006195 0.007814 0.010156 0.013580 0.018622 0.027087
2025-04-20 0.004355 0.005721 0.007649 0.010703 0.015715 0.024259 0.041770
2025-04-27 0.003902 0.005322 0.007443 0.011055 0.017587 0.030287 0.062005
2025-05-04 0.003490 0.004896 0.007087 0.011038 0.018770 0.035620 0.086461
2025-05-11 0.003169 0.004550 0.006782 0.011011 0.019898 0.041483 0.120851
2025-05-18 0.002869 0.004193 0.006397 0.010736 0.020406 0.046193 0.160551
2025-05-25 0.002585 0.003829 0.005943 0.010230 0.020226 0.048974 0.199339
2025-06-01 0.002367 0.003550 0.005599 0.009878 0.020309 0.052707 0.256275
2025-06-08 0.002252 0.003434 0.005536 0.010095 0.021916 0.062954 0.410289
2025-06-15 0.002113 0.003260 0.005340 0.009984 0.022609 0.070548 0.605257
2025-06-22 0.001948 0.003026 0.005005 0.009498 0.022068 0.072575 0.756991
2025-06-29 0.001814 0.002850 0.004786 0.009303 0.022550 0.081134 1.239651
2025-07-06 0.001732 0.002761 0.004731 0.009503 0.024448 0.100601 3.189173
2025-07-13 0.001684 0.002729 0.004789 0.010002 0.027690 0.136361 20.819647
2025-07-20 0.001624 0.002670 0.004779 0.010323 0.030525 0.179446 3654.243419
2025-07-27 0.001545 0.002565 0.004657 0.010308 0.032023 0.217413 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001472 0.002467 0.004539 0.010283 0.033517 0.264530 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001392 0.002347 0.004358 0.010033 0.033845 0.299651 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001305 0.002208 0.004120 0.009571 0.032917 0.311797 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001234 0.002096 0.003937 0.009250 0.032607 0.337844 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001199 0.002058 0.003920 0.009448 0.035272 0.457218 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001150 0.001985 0.003815 0.009347 0.036212 0.549867 NaN